If we introduce in a cocktail shaker a pandemic, weak and un-trained governments, and decision-making focused on the Humanitarian vision rather than the Economist vision, and all right at the start of the annual spring, the result is the European Spring.
If we analyze European governments just before the pandemic, we find ourselves with many weak governments underpinned by political commitments of varied tendencies that needed to pursue a progressive policy, or instead a populist policy. And within this cocktail, none of the European countries, including the Brexit goblin, were free of guilt.
As we have commented on more than one occasion, the short-term concept to make decisions, humanitarian measures above economic measures have not served to achieve the reduction of this pandemic peak. Someone would say yes, but the pandemic peak to assess is the global peak and not the national, from any attitude of relaxation in a humanitarian policy would result in the global peak being affected by national pandemic peaks, i.e. the border-opening discussion is inevitably affected by the global pandemic peak.
Most European governments at the time of the pandemic were under suspicion of their own executive capacity, with major crises in large countries such as Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, Spain or Poland, as well as in smaller countries such as Portugal, Belgium, Greece, etc. None had demonstrated any ability to manage their pre-pandemic socioeconomic situations.
During the pandemic, policies of elongated confinement, rather than a temporary confinement to one or two weeks, have caused a global crisis in national systems. It is no longer a problem of ability to solve, but the inability to understand how the gears of the economy and the finances of the European people work have been demonstrated.
The European Union, being a conglomerate of ideas, has always followed a policy of social democracy that underpinned the quality or average standard of living of its citizens, in order to avoid major crises in any of the countries. The pandemic broke that cohesion and speech and left political discourse towards societies that are highly formed and able to assess and analyze what any politician can say in the hands of weak, incapable, and inexperienced governments.
A clear example is the incoherent discourse of a social-communist government, talking about the tourism sector in Spain that directly accounts for 13% of GDP, and indirectly, more than 25% of GDP and disparage it, being the second country with the most foreign tourists in the world. Planning a change of vision in the sector that breaks with populist tourism and that focuses only on rich tourism, except that the spokesman is the representative of the Communist party, because in the mouth of a socialist or a right-politicians, where the tourist objective would have fired then. And to the end, European representatives who talk about nationalizing sectors such as aviation to solve the economic problems of companies. But has no one explained to them what the closure or shutdown of the sector entails to any of the politicians?
Tourism, even if it is intended to speak of seasonal, is not it. Tourism in aviation sector is unseasonal, only changes the destinations and typology, since tourism is not only sun and beach, health tourism, sport tourism, corporate tourism, which are those of conferences, meetings of companies, …, during the year make up a very important volume of that tourism in numbers, and its consumption is usually higher than that of sun and beach , that is, airlines, hotels, tour operators, etc., work for different sectors at the same time. Sorry to stop that machine is much more expensive than switch on the production machine on the automotive line production. The cost of starting a plane, ship or hotel after confining it months and months is so high. The cost of maintenance and commissioning of these aircraft, ships, buildings or complexes is very expensive and if we add to this the intended post-pandemic control measures, we are going to be impossible. This is not considering the different international policies of sending and receiving tourists by each country.
In this way, it is curious to note that no country is spared the lack of coherence or analysis. Given the blockade posed by the Spanish government to the arrival of tourists the reaction of governments such as Germany’s is to classify Spain as a country of non-tourist interest, when much of their incomes in this sector, just come from the black market that they created in Spain and that have not been allowed in other countries , that is, it’s like throwing stones at your own roof instead of looking for imaginative solutions; or France that, instead of seeking mediation and a diplomatic solution, seeks to punish the flow of people from Spain to France, does it not remember that in summer the flow of Portuguese and Arab immigrants who cross Spain but originate from France is gone and back? In other words, their own citizens if they left France would find themselves with punishment in Spain and on their return to France, so the decision rather than attacking Spain has attacked a significant percentage of its fellow citizens and residents.
It is also worth noting the purported establishment by governments of a demo-totalitarian political system, i.e. democratic governments, guided in the long term by unilateralist systems lying in pandemic alarms and the confinement of society and its opponents; what may be in short spaces of time and in chaotic times can go unnoticed, when those policies are extended into free press systems become a boomerang for governments. Mediocre governments are not able to understand that the judges of their actions are not the opposition, but the press itself. Since Nixon’s time, it is known that the current king-naming is the press and that it cannot be attacked or in the long term manipulated so the lengthening of these states of emergency have served to concentrate all research on authoritarian but democratic governments, bringing to light their underworked health spending decisions, where countries like Spain cannot justify more than 1 billion euros , but that Italy, France, Germany, etc. would add to that, because there are many gaps in their expenditure in all of them. The opposition can forgive and wrongly establish the governments present in an undaunted manner, but the press has the ability to dethrone kings and emperors.
With all this situation, governments, wrongly advised by purported economic and health analysts, who, as Cervantes said and now the leaders, “whose name I do not intend to remember”, present us with a volume of proposals for subsidies that do not reach the people; that the only beneficiaries have been the banks, curiously their ancient demons; of post-conflict or post-pandemic taxes that everyone knows will not affect the rich, the supposed caste, but the rest of society, impoverished and mistreated; promises of exemption from payments for services that have not been given; humanitarian support that is entirely dependent on the solidarity of the people and not on governments; discriminatory policies between territories linked to the political colors of each of them; of fights between governments that do not add up, but only remain; lack of information and lack of civic or family judgment in policies that seek to leave the elders abandoned; all this is what the humanitarian policy of European governments has achieved in just three months.
Or do they not know or do not remember that the Arab Spring, promoted by the United States, was financed from Europe, playing at that time with a large number of the elements that are being given today so that the European Spring can begin. We are faced with this end of spring and early summer to what no country in Europe was dreaming of happening in Europe, the social fatigue over mediocre and incompetent democratic regimes unable to provide solutions to a society well-off in social democracy and that faces a clear impoverishment and return to economic criteria of 70 years ago , something very few lived. This European Spring may be the beginning of real change in the institutions, in the future political line and in the true definition of the European Union itself, if ever. All this under a US policy of destabilizing the Union and a Russia and Turkey seeking its Eastern European Unions or the former Ottoman territory; while China tries to peck in the midst of the cocktail that has been generated on the old continent. Everyone welcomes to the European Spring!